MLB Baseball Betting: Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates

Added September 15, 2015 by Levi Watkins

Meaningless baseball games are few and far between during the month of September but we’ve definitely got one here. The Chicago Cubs and Pittsburgh Pirates will do battle at PNC Park on Tuesday night and the stakes are very high. The Pirates trail NL Central leading St. Louis by 2.5 games while the Cubs are 6.5 games out. The Cardinals are slumping, however, and have lost 7 of their last 10 games. The Cardinals have been in cruise control for most of the season but are now at risk of slipping down to wild card status.

This game features a matchup of left handed pitching. Jon Lester gets the ball for Chicago and he’s been having a rough season by his usual high standards. Lester hasn’t been bad, just not impressive. He’s got a 3.50 ERA overall and the Cubs have won 15 of his 28 starts. His road numbers are comparable to his overall stats with a 3.43 ERA and Chicago has a 5-5 record when he starts away from home. He’ll be opposed by J.A. Happ who has been up and down since being acquired by the Pirates but has been in excellent form in recent outings. His last three starts have resulted in a 1.45 ERA with 3 earned runs in just under 19 innings of work. The Pirates won all three of these games.

The Cubs are in the black in most situational breakdowns–they’ve even turned a nice profit on the road with a record of 39-32 +5.2 units. The Pirates have been one of the biggest moneymakers in baseball at home this season with a record of 49-22 +18.1 units. The head to head play has been very even this year with the Pirates holding a 7-5 overall lead but a 3-3 split in Pittsburgh. Over the past three years the Pirates are 17-9 at home against the Cubs.

This looks to be an even matchup and the price looks to be right on the money. The biggest thing separating the teams in our view is the recent form of Happ who has been spectacular during his recent starts. We’ll lay the price with Pittsburgh and look for them to take advantage of the recent poor play by St. Louis.


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