MLB Baseball Betting: New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds

Added September 25, 2015 by Levi Watkins

This is an important game for one of these teams while the other is playing out the string. The New York Mets are on the verge of clinching the NL East title but haven’t been in great form over the past couple of weeks losing six of their last ten games. They need a combination of three victories and three Washington Nationals’ losses to lock up the divisional title. The Nationals have been playing marginally better than the Mets with 6 wins in 10 games but enter Friday’s action having lost three straight. The Cincinnati Reds, meanwhile, are the personification of a ‘dumpster fire’. They’ve won only 63 games this season, enter tonight’s action having lost 7 of their last 10 and are on a 5 game losing streak.

The Mets haven’t been a great road team this year. They’re just 38-37 away from CitiField for a +2.8 unit profit. That doesn’t sound like much but they’ve been substantially better in the second half of the season. They spent most of the first half of the campaign under the .500 mark on the road. They’ve been solid at home all year (48-30). The Reds have been a miserable home team but that’s not surprising since they’ve been miserable everywhere. At home the Reds are 33-42 for -11.3 units. They’ve been especially bad against right handed pitching (47-66 -17.4 units).

Neither of tonight’s starters have been exceptional this year. The Mets will start Noah Syndergaard who has been mediocre at best overall and very disappointing on the road. Away from home, Syndergaard has a 4.78 ERA and the Mets have lost 3 of his ll road starts. He’ll be opposed by Anthony Desclafani–he’s a decent pitcher at times but he’s been decidedly mediocre this year. At home, he’s got an ERA of 4.71 and the Reds have split his 14 starts.

The Mets have had little trouble with Cincinnati in recent years. This year, in fact, they’re a perfect 4-0 against Cincinnati. This might be as non-competitive a team as the Reds have ever fielded so it’s hard to make a case for the home team. The game means more to the Mets and that should be enough to get them a victory over a disinterested opponent.


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