College Football Betting: Florida State at Boston College

Added September 18, 2015 by Levi Watkins

The most compelling of a short (two game) card of college football betting action for Friday night will come in this ACC conference matchup between Florida State and Boston College. Neither team has been tested so far this season compiling a 2-0 record against weak competition. Florida State destroyed Texas State in their opening game and followed that up with an easy but halfhearted victory over South Florida. Boston College has played an even lower level of competition than Florida State. The Eagles began their season with a 24-3 win over Maine and followed that up with a 76-0 demolition of Howard University. Howard is a mediocre FCS level team but they flat out didn’t try against the Eagles. BC led 62-0 at the half and Howard managed only 11 yards of total offense for the game. The Eagles spent the second half trying *not* to score despite getting no help whatsoever from the Howard defense purportedly charged with stopping them.

Both teams are now stepping up in class and there’s what I consider a surprising amount of support for Boston College in this spot. They’ve definitely got several factors working for them–they’re playing on their home field, playing a hated rival, getting a ton of points and on national television. Florida State could also be taking Boston College lightly. The Eagles are on a 10-5 SU/ATS run at home and on a 9-5 ATS run as an underdog.

That being said, in our view the talent disparity is just too much. Florida State enters this same with one loss in their last 32 contests and with a ton of talent left over from their championship teams of recent years. They’re just 15-15 against the pointspread but have been money in the bank on the road where they’re on a 9-0 SU/6-3 ATS run. BC just doesn’t have the talent level to match up with Florida State for four quarters–and this is a component where playing a patsy like Howard hurts them. They’ll be going from marginal FCS level talent that didn’t care enough to compete to facing guys that will be playing on Sundays in a year or two. Boston College played FSU tough last year, losing by 3 in Tallahassee and the Eagles have covered 6 of the last 10 meetings despite Florida State going 7-3 SU in those games. The reality here is that the Seminoles didn’t lose as much as people think and they’ll easily dispatch BC by 2 touchdowns plus.


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