NFL Football Betting: Dallas Cowboys at St. Louis Rams

Added September 17, 2014 by Levi Watkins

No shortage of football on the betting board this weekend and in this post we’ll take a look at NFL action between the Dallas Cowboys and St. Louis Rams. Dallas is 1-1 on the season getting thumped by San Francisco at home in opening week and beating Tennessee on the road last week. The Rams are also 1-1 which is actually not bad considering their revolving door at quarterback where starter Sam Bradford is out for the year and backup Shaun Hill has missed time due to injury. Third stringer Austin Davis started last week and did a reasonably good job in the Rams’ road win at Tampa Bay. Hill is listed as ‘probable’ for this week’s game.

The St. Louis Rams have definitely taken a hit at quarterback and there’s significant drop off between Bradford and his backups. But is that enough to justify Dallas being favored against anyone on the road? We’re not so sure. While the Cowboys haven’t been a bad road team in recent years (10-7 ATS since 2012) they’ve been one of the worst favorites in the NFL. Dallas is on a 5-12 ATS run laying points since 2012 and 10-15 ATS against conference opponents in that timeframe. The Cowboys have been horrible on defense and although they’ll likely get some of the injured/suspended players they’ve been missing back this weekend that side of the ball is most definitely not a strength.

St. Louis won’t be winning the Super Bowl this year but even with backup quarterbacks running the show they’re not a team that anyone can overlook. The Rams are 16-11 ATS as an underdog since 2012 and coach Jeff Fisher won’t let his team ‘phone it in’ this year just because of the Bradford injury. Dallas has also been a very inconsistent team in recent years and have had a hard time maintaining any momentum. As a result, betting *against* Dallas off of a straight up victory has been a license to print money going 17-7 over the last 24 spots. Bet percentage stats suggest a ton of one sided action on the Cowboys (in excess of 80%) and going against the ‘public’ is never a bad idea in the NFL.


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