NFL Football Betting: Kansas City Chiefs at San Francisco 49ers

Added October 01, 2014 by Levi Watkins

AFC vs. NFC on Sunday Afternoon as a pair of 2-2 teams hook up at Levi’s Stadium. Both the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs are coming off of big wins. The Niners won what was considered a ‘must win’ game against the Philadelphia Eagles by dominating the second half after falling behind in the first. The Chiefs won a Monday Night Football game beating the New England Patriots in one of their worst losses of the Bill Belichick era.

Emotionally, this spot is a very tough one for the Chiefs. They have to head to the West Coast on a short practice week. Their impressive victory over the Patriots now becomes problematic–they’ve spent the week having everyone tell them how great they are. The history of NFL football is littered with teams that looked dominant one week only to come out flat the next week. San Francisco is also coming off a win but it’s one that is much more ‘manageable’ from an emotional standpoint. Simply put, the Niners win was just another ‘day at the office’ while the Chiefs’ win was a big deal.

We’re still not sold on Kansas City. They deserve credit for beating a Patriots team that has a ton of problems on offense but they’ve still lost 8 of their last 12 games dating back to last season. The Chiefs also lost the yardage and time of possession battle in 8 of those games meaning the losses weren’t ‘flukes’. Kansas City hadn’t forced a turnover until Monday Night’s game against New England which says more about the state of the Patriots’ offense than anything else.

Both teams have decent running games but the Niners have the drastically better passing attack. Colin Kaepernick is getting better at putting the ball in the air and he’s got no shortage of weapons when he does. Niners have been a ‘bully’ in recent years covering 21 of 34 as a favorite. They’ve also covered 7 of their last 10 against the AFC. Significant that while the Chiefs have a decent road record against the spread in the past couple of years (11-8 ATS) they’re 1-4 SU/ATS as a road underdog in this price range (+3′ to +7). That suggests that they don’t do well when stepping up in class.


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