NFL Football Betting: New York Jets at Indianapolis Colts

Added September 21, 2015 by Levi Watkins

Two AFC teams off to a dramatically different start this season will do battle in Indianapolis on Monday night as the home town Colts take on the ‘new look’ New York Jets. The Colts were manhandled by Buffalo in their opening game–an emotional contest that was former Jets’ coach Rex Ryan’s first game with his new team. The bad news is that they go from one top ten defense to another. The Jets weren’t much in Ryan’s last few seasons at the helm but they did put together a solid stop unit that is now beginning to pay dividends. The Jets looked good in their opening game of the season as they defeated the Cleveland Browns.

The biggest problem for the Colts last season could be the same one that gives them the most trouble this year. Their offense line play has been substandard and in terms of personnel they did little to address that situation during the offseason. They brought in another wide receiver target for quarterback Andrew Luck in the form of Andre Johnson but he showed little in the team’s opening game. The good news is that Luck’s favorite target–T.Y. Hilton–is expected to play tonight after being listed as ‘questionable’ all week due to a knee injury. Indianapolis may also get Robert Mathis back in the line up (listed as ‘questionable’).

The Jets are still without starting quarterback Geno Smith but as far as replacements go they’ve got a decent one in Ryan Fitzpatrick. The Harvard graduate is probably not a long term answer at quarterback for any NFL team but he’s a solid backup. He’s definitely a better short term option than the Chicago Bears had after Jay Cutler left due to injury on Sunday. More importantly, the Jets physical defense is just fine and could be the difference maker on Monday night.

We’re going to take the points. The Colts have good ATS numbers at home and as a favorite but this looks like a case where they’re overvalued against their actual form while the Jets are undervalued. The ‘public’ still thinks that Indy is better than they are and that the Jets are still in doormat mode.


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